SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 24, 2017
Hurricane Katia
9/8/2017 5:40:00 PM
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Pre-Landfall 19/8/2017 5:40:00 PM 
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Posting Date: 9/8/2017 5:40:00 PM

Category 2 Hurricane Katia is slowly advancing toward the east coast of southern Mexico, where it is expected to make landfall to the north of Veracruz late Friday night or early Saturday morning. A hurricane warning has been issued for the Mexican coast from Cabo Rojo to Laguna Verde, and a tropical storm warning for coastal areas to the north and south of this region. Within the area covered by the hurricane warning storm surge could be 5 feet to as much as 7 feet.

Meteorological Summary

Katia became a hurricane on the afternoon of Wednesday September, 6 and is currently approaching the coast of Mexico as a Category 2 storm with sustained winds of 105 mph. As wind shear diminishes,

Katia may intensify almost to Category 3 status before making landfall late Friday night or early Saturday morning. Such intensification often occurs in the southern Gulf of Mexico and Bay of Campeche.

Katia is expected to deliver 10 to 15 inches of rainfall to several states, particularly northern Veracruz, eastern Hidalgo, and Puebla, but as much as 25 inches may fall in some locations. To the south, rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches are likely; life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are anticipated. The storm system will probably become a tropical storm by Saturday afternoon as it interacts with the mountainous terrain of the Sierra Madre.
p1_katia_track_map.png

Track map for Hurricane Katia as of 1 p.m. CDT, Friday, September 8. (Source: NHC)

Exposure at Risk

The immediate coast near project landfall is relatively sparsely populated. Poza Rica de Hidalgo, some 45 km inland, is the largest population center nearest the coast with an estimated population of more than 180 thousand as of the 2005 Census. The larger metropolitan area, however, has an estimated population of more than 450 thousand.

In Mexico, insured residential properties are largely of confined masonry construction, while insured commercial properties are overwhelmingly of engineered masonry or concrete construction. If Katia remains a Category 2 storm, both construction types should fare reasonably well. Poorly constructed homes and other structures, however, may experience damage to roofs and wall claddings.

 

Hurricane Katia
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