Status: Closed
Type of posting |
Posting date(EST): |
Summary |
Downloads |
Post Landfall 1 |
11/21/1999 4:00:00 PM |
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Landfall |
11/18/1999 11:00:00 AM |
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Pre-Landfall 3 |
11/17/1999 3:00:00 AM |
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Pre-Landfall 2 |
11/16/1999 8:00:00 AM |
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Pre-Landfall 1 |
11/15/1999 5:00:00 AM |
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Landfall | Summary
Posting Date: November 18, 1999, 11:00:00 AM
As of 16:00 EST, Thursday, November 18, 1999, the eye of Hurricane Lenny is moving over St. Maarten. The storm has been very nearly stationary for most of the day. Lenny is currently a strong Category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 120 mph and a central barometric pressure of 965 mb.
Lenny became a Category 4 hurricane yesterday morning and maintained that intensity until about 14:00 EST this afternoon. Sustained winds, at one point, reached 135 mph. Making matters worse, the storm stalled. High winds have been pounding the Dutch, French and British islands of the northeast Caribbean for most of the day. Lenny’s fury was felt in the U.S. Virgin Islands and St. Martin yesterday.
Lenny’s forward speed is expected to increase gradually. Projections indicate that the storm will make a gradual turn towards the east-northeast, passing over St. Maarten and Anguilla before moving out to sea.
Using the most recent information available regarding the current meteorological parameters and the actual and projected track of this storm, the AIR tropical cyclone modeling team has run close to 300 new simulations. As a result of the storm’s stall, estimated losses are now in the upper end of the range that was posted last night. AIR still estimates, however, that, if the storm follows the current projected track, insured losses should not exceed $1 billion.
New scenarios are now posted and are available for viewing by all clients. In addition, CATMAP/2 and CATRADER clients can download event sets. Please note that the range of these numbers reflects the uncertainty surrounding the actual meteorological parameters of this storm as well as the uncertainty surrounding the future track and intensity of this storm.
It is important to note that AIR does not model all of the islands in the Caribbean. These estimates, therefore, represent losses in the following islands only: Puerto Rico, St. Maarten, St. Martin, St. John, St. Croix, and St. Thomas.
AIR will continue to monitor this storm and will post additional information as necessary.
Landfall | Downloads
Posting Date: November 18, 1999, 11:00:00 AM