Status: Closed
Type of posting |
Posting date(EST): |
Summary |
Downloads |
Landfall |
8/6/2001 8:00:00 AM |
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Pre-Landfall 1 |
8/5/2001 8:00:00 AM |
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Pre-Landfall 1 | Summary
Posting Date: August 5, 2001, 8:00:00 AM
As of 5:00 a.m. EDT, Sunday, August 5, 2001, Tropical Storm Barry was located about 185 miles south of Fort Walton Beach, Florida. Barry gained some strength overnight and central pressure is currently 988 mb. Maximum sustained winds are currently clocked at 45 mph with peak gusts of 60 mph. The storm is moving toward the north-northeast at 6 mph, and that movement should continue over the next 24 hours. Currently, landfall is expected sometime early tomorrow morning.
Forecast models suggest that Tropical Storm Barry may reach hurricane status by the time of landfall. However, it is important to emphasize that there is still considerable uncertainty with respect both to Barry’s future track and intensity parameters.
Using the most recent information about the meteorological parameters of this storm, the AIR tropical cyclone modeling team has run dozens of simulations representing a variety of assumptions about the storm’s future track and intensity. The resulting scenarios and loss estimates range on the basis of Barry’s making landfall somewhere along the Florida panhandle, and that the storm’s intensity at landfall could range from tropical storm status to a moderate Category 1 hurricane.
CATRADER and CLASIC/2 clients can now view wind speed and loss maps on the Scenarios page of this web site. In addition, event sets representing the full range of simulated scenarios are available for download. AIR will continue to monitor this storm and will post additional information as necessary.
Pre-Landfall 1 | Downloads
Posting Date: August 5, 2001, 8:00:00 AM