Status: Closed
Type of posting |
Posting date(EST): |
Summary |
Downloads |
Post Landfall 1 |
10/4/2002 11:00:00 AM |
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Landfall |
10/3/2002 8:00:00 AM |
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Pre-Landfall 3 |
10/2/2002 4:00:00 PM |
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Pre-Landfall 2 |
10/2/2002 9:00:00 AM |
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Pre-Landfall 1 |
10/1/2002 7:30:00 AM |
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Post Landfall 1 | Summary
Posting Date: October 4, 2002, 11:00:00 AM
As of 5:00 a.m. on Friday, October 4, 2002, the former hurricane Lili had weakened to a tropical depression located near the Arkansas-Mississippi border about 75 miles southwest of Memphis, Tennessee. The storm was moving north-northeast at about 21 mph (33 kph). Lili was expected to turn toward the northeast later today and increase in speed.
Maximum wind speed has diminished to 35 mph (56 kph) with higher gusts. Maximum central pressure was 994 mb. Little change in intensity is expected, as Lili becomes extratropical over the next 24 hours.
Lili lost strength after coming ashore at Marsh Island LA as a Category 2 hurricane with 100 mph (161 kph) winds. But wind still blew down trees and signs, damaged roofs, and disrupted power to more than 400,000 homes. Several Louisiana parishes were declared federal disaster areas on Thursday.
The AIR tropical cyclone team has collected the currently available information about the meteorological parameters of this storm since landfall and run new simulations based on this information. Please note that we may update these estimates once Lili progresses further over land and the actual track becomes known. It is also important to remember that the actual values of the meteorological parameters of this storm at the time of landfall are not yet certain. In light of this uncertainty, AIR has posted a range of loss estimates.
All clients may now view the latest scenarios by accessing the Scenarios page of this web site.Our latest scenarios may be viewed by accessing the Event Scenario page of this Web site. Please note that, at this time, both CATMAP/2, CATRADER, CLASIC/1, and CLASIC/2 clients can also download event sets representing the entire range of simulated scenarios.
Post Landfall 1 | Downloads
Posting Date: October 4, 2002, 11:00:00 AM