Status: Closed
Type of posting |
Posting date(EST): |
Summary |
Downloads |
Post Landfall 1 |
10/4/2002 11:00:00 AM |
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Landfall |
10/3/2002 8:00:00 AM |
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Pre-Landfall 3 |
10/2/2002 4:00:00 PM |
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Pre-Landfall 2 |
10/2/2002 9:00:00 AM |
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Pre-Landfall 1 |
10/1/2002 7:30:00 AM |
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Pre-Landfall 2 | Summary
Posting Date: October 2, 2002, 9:00:00 AM
As of 5:00 a.m. EDT, Wednesday, October 2, 2002, Hurricane Lili was located about 440 miles, (708 km) south-southeast of New Orleans, Louisiana. Lili was moving toward the north-northwest at about 16 mph (26 kph) and a gradual turn to the northwest is expected during the next 24 hours. Currently, landfall is expected on Thursday evening along the Gulf Coast.
Maximum sustained winds are currently near 110 mph (175 kph) with higher gusts, making Lili a strong Category 2 storm on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. Hurricane force winds extend outward to 45 miles from the center. Minimum central pressure is estimated to be 955 mb. Lili is likely to intensify to a Category 3 storm during the next several hours.
Using the most recent information about the meteorological parameters of this storm, the AIR tropical cyclone modeling team has run dozens of simulations representing a variety of assumptions about the storm's future track and intensity. The resulting scenarios and loss estimates range on the basis of Lili making landfall somewhere along the Gulf Coast, between Chambers County, TX and Terrebonne County, LA as a Category 3 hurricane. It is important to note that there is still considerable uncertainty regarding the future track and parameters of this storm.
CATRADER and CLASIC/2 clients can now view wind speed and loss maps on the Scenarios page of this web site. In addition, event sets representing the full range of simulated scenarios are available for download.
AIR will continue to monitor this storm and will post additional information as the storm progresses.
Pre-Landfall 2 | Downloads
Posting Date: October 2, 2002, 9:00:00 AM