Hurricane Charley

Pre-Landfall 3 | Summary
Posting Date: August 12, 2004, 2:00:00 PM

As of 11 a.m. EDT, Hurricane Charley is centered about 25 miles (40 km) north of Grand Cayman, moving northwest at around 17 mph (25kph), and is expected to turn north-northwest later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (145 kph), with hurricane force winds extending to 25 miles (40km) from the center. The most recently reported central pressure was 983 mb (29.03 in). The National Hurricane Center expects Charley to continue to strengthen during the next 24 hours. A hurricane warning remains in effect for the Florida Keys from the Dry Tortugas to the Seven Mile Bridge and for the southwest Florida coast from East Cape Sable to Bonita Beach; hurricane warnings also remain in effect for the Cayman Islands and western Cuba. Using the most recent information about the meteorological parameters of this storm, the AIR tropical cyclone modeling team has run hundreds of scenarios representing a variety of assumptions about the storm’s future track and intensity. Five of these are now posted on the scenarios page of this web site, where CATRADER® and CLASIC/2™ clients can view wind speed and loss maps. Please note that the loss estimates provided are for the U.S. and Caribbean combined. In addition, event sets representing the full range of simulated scenarios are now available for download. Please note that there is still considerable uncertainty surrounding the future track and meteorological parameters of this storm. AIR will continue to monitor Charley and will post additional information as warranted.

Pre-Landfall 3 | Downloads
Posting Date: August 12, 2004, 2:00:00 PM