Status: Closed
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Posting date(EST): |
Summary |
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| Pre-Landfall 3 |
8/12/2004 9:00:00 AM |
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| Pre-Landfall 2 |
8/11/2004 9:00:00 AM |
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| Pre-Landfall 1 |
8/10/2004 2:00:00 PM |
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Pre-Landfall 1 | Summary
Posting Date: August 10, 2004, 2:00:00 PM
Tropical Storm Bonnie, the second named storm of the 2004 Atlantic hurricane season, is currently located in the Gulf of Mexico about 350 miles (560 km) south of the mouth of the Mississippi River.
As of 11 a.m. EDT, Bonnie was moving west-northwest through the Gulf with a forward speed of 8 mph (13 kph). According to NOAA’s National Hurricane Center, Bonnie is expected to slow somewhat over the next 24 hours, gather strength and make a turn towards the north. Current forecasts are for Bonnie to make landfall on the Florida Panhandle at around noon (EDT) on Thursday, possibly as a Category 1 hurricane.
Bonnie currently has maximum sustained winds around 60 mph (95 kph) with higher gusts. Tropical storm force winds extend to just 30 miles (50 km) from the center, making this a quite small system. Minimum central pressure is estimated at 1002 mb (29.59 in).
Using the most recent information about the meteorological parameters of this storm, the AIR tropical cyclone modeling team has run scenarios representing a variety of assumptions about the storm’s future track and intensity. Five of these are now posted on the scenarios page of this web site, where CATRADER® and CLASIC/2™ clients can view wind speed and loss maps. In addition, event sets representing the full range of simulated scenarios are now available for download.
Please note that there is a great deal of uncertainty surrounding the future track and meteorological parameters of this storm. AIR will continue to monitor Bonnie and will post additional information tomorrow morning.
Pre-Landfall 1 | Downloads
Posting Date: August 10, 2004, 2:00:00 PM
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