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Typhoon Sarika
Status: Closed
| Type of posting | Posting date(EST): | Summary | Downloads |
|---|---|---|---|
| Post Landfall 1 | 10/18/2016 9:45:00 AM |
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| Landfall | 10/17/2016 10:30:00 AM |
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| Pre-Landfall 1 | 10/14/2016 2:00:00 PM |
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Pre-Landfall 1 | Summary
Posting Date: October 14, 2016, 2:00:00 PM
Typhoon Sarika promises high winds and heavy rain when it makes landfall in central Luzon in the Philippines at the equivalent of a Category 1 hurricane Saturday afternoon or evening, local time. Although Sarika will weaken while crossing mountainous Luzon, the storm is expected to restrengthen to the equivalent of a Category 2 hurricane over the South China Sea as it moves toward northern Vietnam and China.
As shown in this track map, Typhoon Sarika was moving slowly but steadily west-northwest toward Luzon, the Philippines’ largest and most densely populated island, at 02:00 PST on Saturday, October 15 (18:00 UTC on Friday, October 14). (Source: JMA)
Forecast
As 02:00 PST local time on Saturday, October 15, 2016, Typhoon Sarika was approximately 400 kilometers (250 miles) from Manila, moving slowly west-northwest, with a maximum wind speed of 138 km/h (86 mph), wind gusts as high as 203 km/h (126 mph), and a minimum central pressure of 970 mb. Already the western edge of the storm had created rough seas off the Philippines and was beginning to impact the northern Bicol region of Luzon.
Total rainfall from Sarika for the Bicol region and central Luzon could approach the 200-300 millimeter (8-12 inches) range—higher in mountainous areas—which could result in dangerous mudslides and flash floods. Although the capital city of Manila will be on the fringes of the storm, substantial precipitation is expected in the capital—possibly as great as 75-150 millimeters (3-6 inches)—with flash floods possible because rainfall from the storm will occur during a relatively short time period.
Sarika should degrade while over Luzon, perhaps to tropical storm strength, but the warm waters of the South China Sea should encourage reintensification, possibly to a Category 2 equivalent storm.
Storm Warnings
Storm warnings and watches have been issued for numerous provinces in the Philippines, including Albay, Aurora, Batangas, Bulacan, Camarines Norte, Cantanduanes, Cavite, Isabela, Laguna, Marinduque, Masbate (including Burias and Ticao islands), Metropolitan Manila, Nueva Ecija, Pampanga, Quezon (including Polillo Island), Quirino, Rizal, Samar, Sorsogon, and Sur.
