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Hurricane Florence 2018
Status: Closed
| Type of posting | Posting date(EST): | Summary | Downloads |
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| Post Landfall 2 | 9/21/2018 1:30:00 PM |
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| Post Landfall 1 | 9/18/2018 10:00:00 AM |
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| Landfall | 9/14/2018 12:00:00 PM |
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| Pre-Landfall 3 | 9/13/2018 11:30:00 AM |
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| Pre-Landfall 2 | 9/12/2018 1:30:00 PM |
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| Pre-Landfall 1 | 9/11/2018 3:00:00 PM |
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Pre-Landfall 3 | Summary
Posting Date: September 13, 2018, 11:30:00 AM
As of 8 a.m. EDT on September 13, Hurricane Florence was located about 170 miles (275 km) east-southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina, and about 220 miles (335 km) east-southeast of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, at latitude 33.1°N, longitude 75.1°W, with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph (175 km/h) and a central pressure of 956 mb. Florence is moving northwest at 12 mph (20 km/h).
Hurricane Florence is currently a Category 2 storm and is forecast to remain at Category 2 intensity until landfall, now expected sometime during the morning of Friday, September 14, along the coastline of southeastern North Carolina or northeastern South Carolina. Florence should then begin to weaken and move slowly westward, bringing as much as 20 to 30 inches of rainfall to inland areas, with some local areas forecast to receive up to 40 inches from South Carolina up to southwest Virginia. Storm surge heights are expected to be as high as 9 to 13 feet, and Florence’s slow motion will mean that several high tides could occur as it makes landfall, which will exacerbate the storm surge hazard threat.
A storm surge warning is in effect for the South Santee River in South Carolina to Duck, North Carolina, and Albemarle and Pamlico sounds, including the Neuse and Pamlico rivers. A storm surge watch is in effect for Edisto Beach in South Carolina to the South Santee River in South Carolina, and north of Duck, North Carolina, to the North Carolina/Virginia border. A hurricane warning is in effect for the South Santee River in South Carolina to Duck, North Carolina, and Albemarle and Pamlico sounds A hurricane watch is in effect for Edisto Beach, South Carolina, to the South Santee River in South Carolina. A tropical storm warning is in effect for north of Duck, North Carolina, to Cape Charles Light in Virginia, and the Chesapeake Bay south of New Point Comfort, Virginia.
ALERT™ subscribers can now download similar stochastic event (SSE) IDs for Hurricane Florence from the Downloads tab. Compatible with Touchstone®, Touchstone Re™, and CATRADER®, the SSEs were selected from AIR's standard 10K U.S. Hurricane Model based on event parameters (not industry losses) and should be used only for exposures in South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia.
Pre-Landfall 3 | Downloads
Posting Date: September 13, 2018, 11:30:00 AM
Similar Stochastic Event IDs
Note: These lists give event IDs taken from our stochastic catalog that have similar characteristics as the current event.
| Product | File Type | Description | Download |
|---|---|---|---|
| CATRADER | xls | Selected set of stochastic events | |
| TOUCHSTONE | xls | Selected set of stochastic events | |
Additional Downloads
Note: Additional downloads related to the posting are listed below. Please use the appropriate application to view these files.
| Title | File Type | Description | Download |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florence Scenario Overview | .xls | This file contains a track map, parametric information, and estimated industry gross insured losses for the nine similar event scenarios provided by AIR for Hurricane Florence. Losses were derived using 2018 indexed take up rates, apply only to United States exposures, and include demand surge. | |
