Hurricane Agatha

Mexico Landfall SSEs | Summary
Posting Date: May 31, 2022, 12:00:00 PM

According to the National Hurricane Center, Agatha made landfall as a Category 2 Hurricane at 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. local time, PDT) on May 30 with maximum sustained wind speeds of 105 mph (165 km/h) 5 miles (10 km) west of Puerto Angel, Oaxaca, on Mexico’s Pacific coast (near 15.7°N, 96.6°W). 

ALERT™ subscribers can download similar stochastic event (SSE) IDs for this event from the Downloads tab.. Compatible with Touchstone® and Touchstone Re™, the SSEs were selected based on event parameters (not industry losses) and should be used only for exposures in Mexico. The information provided herein is strictly confidential and is solely for the use of our clients; disclosure to others is prohibited unless noted in your software license.

Agatha is the first named storm in the eastern Pacific this season; this is the first time a Category 2 hurricane has made landfall in the eastern Pacific in May. Agatha made landfall in Zipolite, a popular destination for tourists, and was strong enough to uproot trees, cause major power losses, and rip roofs off well-built homes in the vicinity of landfall.

After landfall, the storm moved northeastward, weakening to a Category 1 storm 3 hours later and then to a tropical storm 6 hours later. Agatha’s forward movement also slowed so that its winds and heavy rainfall continued to affect southern Mexico into the following day. In the Mexican state of Oaxaca, 10 to 16 inches of rain were forecast, with pockets of 20 inches possible; in the Mexican state of Chiapas, 5 to 10 inches of rain were forecast, with pockets of 15 inches possible; in the Mexican states of Veracruz, Tabasco and eastern portions of Guerrero: 2 to 4 inches of rain were forecast, with pockets of 6 inches possible. Widespread flooding and mudslides are expected in the affected states.

Given Oaxaca’s popularity with some 200,000 tourists annually before the pandemic, the storm could impact one of the state’s important economic drivers. Agatha is the now a tropical depression. On the forecast track, it will continue to move farther inland over southern Mexico this morning; Agatha could restrengthen into a storm that affects Florida.

The ALERT team will continue to monitor Agatha. In the event that Agatha is forecast to make landfall on the U.S. mainland as a hurricane, we will provide SSEs 48 hours ahead of landfall.

Mexico Landfall SSEs | Downloads
Posting Date: May 31, 2022, 12:00:00 PM

The information provided herein is strictly confidential and is solely for the use of AIR clients; disclosure to others is prohibited.

Similar Stochastic Event IDs

Note: These lists give event IDs taken from our stochastic catalog that have similar characteristics as the current event.

Product	File Type	Description	Download
TOUCHSTONE / Re	Excel (xls)	Selected set of stochastic events
TOUCHSTONE / Re	CSV (csv)	Selected set of stochastic events